Trump in growing legal and political peril ahead of 2024
Former President Donald Trump is facing increasing legal and political peril as he prepares for a possible 2024 presidential run. Trump has been under investigation for various alleged criminal and civil violations, including tax fraud, election fraud, and obstruction of justice. Additionally, he is facing backlash from his own party over his role in the January 6th insurrection at the U.S. Capitol. In this article, we will explore the legal and political challenges facing Trump and how they could impact his future in politics.
One of the most significant legal challenges facing Trump is the ongoing criminal investigation into his business practices by the Manhattan District Attorney's office. The investigation began in 2018 and has since expanded to include allegations of tax fraud and insurance fraud. The investigation centers on whether Trump and his company, the Trump Organization, misled lenders and insurance companies about the value of their properties to secure loans and lower insurance premiums. Trump has denied any wrongdoing.
In February 2021, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected Trump's efforts to block the release of his tax returns to the Manhattan District Attorney's office. The decision cleared the way for prosecutors to obtain eight years of Trump's tax returns and other financial records. The investigation is ongoing, and it is unclear what charges, if any, Trump may face.
Election fraud allegations
Trump has repeatedly claimed that the 2020 presidential election was stolen from him through widespread voter fraud, despite no evidence to support his claims. These claims led to the January 6th insurrection at the U.S. Capitol, where Trump supporters stormed the Capitol building in an attempt to overturn the election results.
Since the election, Trump and his allies have filed numerous lawsuits challenging the election results, all of which have been dismissed or rejected by courts. In December 2020, the Supreme Court rejected a lawsuit filed by Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, supported by Trump, that sought to overturn the election results in several swing states. The court's decision was a significant blow to Trump's efforts to overturn the election results.
Obstruction of justice allegations
Trump has also faced allegations of obstruction of justice, specifically related to the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election. Special Counsel Robert Mueller's report on the investigation detailed several instances where Trump may have obstructed justice, including his firing of FBI Director James Comey and his attempts to have Mueller fired.
While Mueller did not recommend charges against Trump, he did not exonerate him either. The report stated that "while this report does not conclude that the President committed a crime, it also does not exonerate him."
The backlash from within the Republican Party
Trump's role in the January 6th insurrection has led to a backlash from within the Republican Party. Several Republican lawmakers, including House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, have publicly criticized Trump for his role in the insurrection. Some have even called for his impeachment or removal from office.
Additionally, the Republican Party is currently divided between Trump loyalists and those who want to move on from the Trump era. The divide was evident in the recent impeachment trial of Trump, where only seven Republican senators voted to convict him.
Loss of support from corporate donors
Trump's actions leading up to and following the January 6th insurrection have led to a loss of support from corporate donors. Several major corporations, including JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, and Marriott, have announced they will suspend political donations to Republican lawmakers who voted against certifying the election results, further signaling a shift in the corporate world away from Trump and his allies. This loss of support could make it more difficult for Trump to fundraise if he runs for president again in 2024.